All Content by Chad Millman
Nearly halfway through the NFL season, the board is finally coming into focus. Lines are sharper, the public’s biases are clearer, and the best opportunities lie in the ugly games no one wants to touch. Betting the NFL isn’t about...
Sharp or Square: Week 6 Recap, Early Week 7 Leans
We’re feeling good, not great, because that’s the life of a bettor. Week 6 delivered a 3-1 Sunday with the Chiefs still pending on Sunday night. The numbers were tight, the sweats were real, and the chaos of the NFL...
Chad Millman
October 13, 2025
Sharp or Square: Week 6 NFL Betting Insights
Every NFL week has its character. Some are clear, confident, and clean - where the lines tell the truth and the data hums in perfect sync with instinct. Week 6 isn’t that. Week 6 is chaos disguised as opportunity. It’s...
Chad Millman
October 9, 2025
Sharp or Square: What the Board Tells Us for NFL Week 6
Week 5 was one of those weekends that tested your heart rate and your bankroll. Five teams came back from two-touchdown deficits to win outright. Six overcame double-digit holes. We were on five of them, and when the Jaguars covered...
Chad Millman
October 7, 2025
Sharp or Square: Week 5 Recap, Early Week 6 Bets
Some Sundays are prizefights. This one was a carnival ride: tilting, spinning, and occasionally making you swear off Survivor pools forever. We opened 0-1 after the Rams whiffed Thursday night, hit Sunday sitting 2-2, and now everything rides on Jags...
Chad Millman
October 6, 2025
Sharp or Square: Week 5 NFL Betting Insights
This is our Thursday, Week 5 episode. We’re going to narrow down the options on our quest to find five picks we agree on for the week. We’re switching up the format a little bit, and we’re locking in on...
Chad Millman
October 2, 2025
Sharp or Square: What the Board Tells Us for NFL Week 5
We try not to romanticize a single Sunday. The whole point is to keep a principled edge: love prices, not teams; buy dips, sell spikes; and be selectively gross when the market dares you. With that in mind, here’s how...
Chad Millman
September 30, 2025
Sharp or Square: Week 4 Recap, Early Week 5 Bets
We’ll never complain about a 3–2 week betting the NFL. In this racket, 60% keeps the lights on, the marriage happy, and the squares a little sharper. But how we got there this week? Pure chaos. Early slate pain, late...
Chad Millman
September 29, 2025
Sharp or Square: Our Week 4 Betting Picks
This is the best part of the sports calendar. Baseball is peaking, pucks and hoops are tuning up, and football is a constant hum. We’re grateful that our job is to turn that hum into edges, and this week offers...
Chad Millman
September 25, 2025
Sharp or Square: Week 4 NFL Betting Insights
Last weekend we went 3-2 to move to 9-6 on the season. In a week where the board looked gross, that’s a win. Sunday nights don’t always show our true emotions -- Chad comes in buzzing, Simon looks half-dead --...
Chad Millman
September 23, 2025
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